MIDWEST CLIMATE: EL NIÑO 2015-2016
CURRENT EL NIÑO STATUS & MONITORING
The El Niño of 2015-2016 is shaping up to be one of the strongest El Niño events on record. Use this page to follow along as this El Niño event evolves.
Left image credit: National Weather Sesrvice's Climate Prediction Center. Right image: Oceanic Niño Index values over the past twelve 3-month
averaged seasons. For example, JAS represents the July-September three-month averaged period.
MRCC GIS El Niño Comparison Tool
Compare the 2015-16 El Niño to six other strong El Niño events as it happens using the MRCC GIS El Niño Comparison Tool! Compare temperature and precipitation for climate divisions nationwide. Snowfall is also available for the 9-state Midwest region. Monthly and seasonal data will be updated throughout the winter.
El Niño Monitoring Pages
- CPC El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Home page
- CPC IRI Monthly Model Forecasts for ENSO in the Niño 3.4 Region (image)
- Monthly ENSO Diagnostic Discussion
- CPC Weekly ENSO Evolution, Status and Prediction Presentation (pdf)
- Past ENSO Diagnostic Discussions
- Climate.gov ENSO Blog
- International Research Institute for Climate and Society Current ENSO Forecast
Latest update: 19 Nov 2015 (updates every third Thursday of the month)
The winter outlook from the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC) is calling for a chance of above normal temperatures for most of the Midwest. The northern halves of Minnesota, Wisconsin and Michigan have the highest probability of above normal temperatures, while southern Missouri and western Kentucky have equal chances of above or below normal temperatures for the winter.
The CPC is also calling for a chance of below normal precipitation across the Great Lakes this winter. Southern Minnesota, Iowa, Missouri, western Illinois and Kentucky have equal chances of above or below normal precipitation for the winter. (Click maps below to see enlarged version.)
Watch this video from the CPC for more information: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9yZiYtoezlY
To see other three month outlooks from the CPC, take a look at their Three-Month Outlooks page.
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